Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000110 0.000121 0.000134 0.000149 0.000165 0.000182 0.000203
2025-11-30 0.000092 0.000108 0.000126 0.000148 0.000174 0.000204 0.000241
2025-12-07 0.000078 0.000096 0.000118 0.000146 0.000181 0.000223 0.000278
2025-12-14 0.000069 0.000089 0.000114 0.000148 0.000191 0.000246 0.000322
2025-12-21 0.000062 0.000083 0.000110 0.000148 0.000200 0.000268 0.000366
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000147 0.000205 0.000286 0.000406
2026-01-04 0.000051 0.000073 0.000103 0.000149 0.000216 0.000311 0.000458
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000069 0.000101 0.000149 0.000223 0.000332 0.000506
2026-01-18 0.000043 0.000065 0.000097 0.000149 0.000229 0.000350 0.000552
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000062 0.000094 0.000148 0.000234 0.000369 0.000599
2026-02-01 0.000037 0.000059 0.000092 0.000148 0.000240 0.000388 0.000650
2026-02-08 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000146 0.000243 0.000403 0.000692
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000053 0.000086 0.000145 0.000248 0.000422 0.000747
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000050 0.000084 0.000146 0.000255 0.000445 0.000809
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000144 0.000258 0.000462 0.000863
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000046 0.000081 0.000146 0.000268 0.000491 0.000942
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000045 0.000079 0.000147 0.000275 0.000516 0.001015
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000043 0.000077 0.000145 0.000279 0.000535 0.001079
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000042 0.000077 0.000148 0.000289 0.000567 0.001172
2026-04-05 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000148 0.000296 0.000593 0.001255
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000039 0.000074 0.000147 0.000301 0.000614 0.001331
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000037 0.000072 0.000147 0.000305 0.000636 0.001409
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000036 0.000071 0.000147 0.000311 0.000661 0.001497